YAKIMA, Wash. — A 20.7 million, 20-pound-box Pacific Northwest cherry crop is forecast to start harvest the last full week of May while California’s harvest has been devastated by rain.
The California crop has probably been cut in half by rain damage, said Roger Pepperl, marketing director of Wenatchee, Wash.-based Stemilt Growers, which is affiliated with Chinchiolo Stemilt California in Stockton.
A normal 8 million, 15-pound-box crop was forecast in California, but rains in April and heavy rain May 6 and 7 will leave a 4 million- to 5-million-box harvest, said Chris Zanobini, executive director of the California Cherry Advisory Board in Sacramento.
“We just can’t seem to get a good one,” he said referencing damage the last two years.
About 50 percent of the Bing crop was wiped out by the May 6 and 7 rain, Zanobini said. There was a lot of poor quality accompanied by spurs and doubles before the rain, he said.
Growers are assessing what they can salvage, and the bulk of harvest will be done by May 20, he said.
Lack of labor is a bigger story, Zanobini said. Packers have wanted to run 12 hours but workers won’t go more than 10, he said.
“There just is not enough to do the work that needs to be done. It’s very, very concerning. I don’t know had we had an 8 million-box crop if we could have gotten them all picked and packed,” Zanobini said.
“We were running 45 percent packout and quit picking Wednesday because it was costing more to pick than we could get at the warehouse,” said Kyle Mathison of his 500-acre cherry orchard at Arvin near Bakersfield. He’s turning his focus to the upcoming harvest of his 1,000 acres on Wenatchee’s Stemilt Hill.
In Arvin, Mathison said he had 15 to 20 percent cherry split from 3 inches of rain April 8-10 and an additional 15 to 20 percent damage from an April 24 rain. He gave up May 4 right before two more days of rain.
“We had over 4 inches of rain in less than a month, so we had to give it up. We harvested 400 tons and left 2,100 tons in the field,” Mathison said.
He said he was two days behind on picking because he only had 500 pickers and needed 700. “It’s a blessing I didn’t get more because I would have lost more money,” he said.
Harvest compression from Bakersfield to Stockton contributed to the labor shortage, he said. He’s optimistic the Washington harvest will be better.
The PNW estimate is likely to change, but right now it’s 7 percent greater than the 2015 final of 19.3 million boxes and would place third behind the record 2014 crop of 23.2 million boxes and the 2012 crop of 22.9 million.
Northwest Cherry Growers, the industry promotional organization in Yakima, is predicting another early start, tying last year’s record of May 24. The historic norm is about June 1. Orchards near Pasco and Mattawa are always the first to start harvest that finishes in August with high-elevation cherries in Stemilt Basin south of Wenatchee and on the lower slopes of Mount Hood in Oregon.
It looks like the crop will be very similar to last year in size and timing but hopefully without the June heat waves that pushed the crop last year, said James Michael, vice president of marketing at Northwest Cherry Growers.
A record 12.6 million boxes of cherries harvested last June and a record 14 million shipped before the Fourth of July enjoyed strong demand and prices, B.J. Thurlby, the Northwest Cherry Growers president, has said.
But a second heat wave in late June caused a market glut after the Fourth that lasted 10 days and depressed prices.
This year’s first forecast calls for shipments of 200,000 boxes by June 1 compared to 500,000 last year, 11 million-plus boxes this June, and a strong and early Rainier crop similar to last year’s 1.7 million 15-pound boxes.
Mid-June through mid-July appears to be the key window for promotions and programs to maintain sales momentum, Michael said.
In Manson on the north shore of Lake Chelan, Dan Baker hopes to get a crop this year. Last year, his five acres, mostly Bing cherries, were wiped out by hail. His Bing set light every year but this year lighter than normal despite good bloom and good pollination weather.
Skeena and Sweetheart typically yield 10 to 12 tons per acre in the region, but 5 tons is good for Bing, he said.
“When the trumpet lilies bloom, it’s time to pick,” Baker said. “This year it will be about one week early if I can get pickers. It’s getting harder and harder to find them.”
He needs 12 to 15 pickers. His harvest usually takes 10 days and usually starts the fourth week of June.